WEATHERING THE 2026–27 EL NIÑO CYCLE

Recommended Preparedness Actions

Recommended Preparedness Actions

Government Assistance and Recovery Channels When losses exceed reserves and private insurance, eligibility often divides along the same line as the business model: agricultural production on one side and tourism or hospitality on the other. Destination organizations should map both channels before an event and help members document losses in the format each program requires. United States: Agricultural Production USDA’s Farm Service Agency maintains standing tools that include Emergency Farm Loans after a qualifying disaster designation; the Noninsured Crop Disaster Assistance Program for crops that lack conventional federal crop insurance; the Tree Assistance Program for disaster-damaged trees, bushes and vines; and the Emergency Conservation Program for farmland repair. Emergency Farm Loans may cover qualifying production or physical losses, while Tree Assistance Program deadlines can begin when the loss becomes apparent. Federal crop insurance, including Whole-Farm Revenue Protection, must generally be arranged before losses occur. The May 2023 upstate New York freeze illustrates the designation pathway: 31 counties received a federal agricultural disaster designation that unlocked emergency lending for affected producers. Destination organizations should monitor USDA declarations and the U.S. Drought Monitor alongside seasonal climate outlooks because those administrative triggers, not the El Niño label, determine access.

Canada: Agricultural Production AgriRecovery is a federal-provincial-territorial framework for extraordinary recovery costs after a disaster; producers do not apply to the framework directly, and ordinary production or revenue losses generally fall to the standing Business Risk Management suite, including AgriStability, AgriInsurance and AgriInvest. A province or territory requests a joint assessment, after which a targeted initiative may reimburse eligible extraordinary recovery costs rather than ordinary lost revenue. British Columbia’s 2023 drought- and-wildfire response shows how this process can support feed, water and other exceptional expenses. Broader provincial disaster programs may also receive support through Public Safety Canada’s Disaster Financial Assistance Arrangements. Operators should understand which expenses belong to the standing risk- management suite and which may qualify only after a special initiative is created.

Positioning Before a Loss Maintain baseline yield, season-length, booking, cancellation and revenue records; publish a one- page member guide that distinguishes USDA from SBA eligibility; and build relationships with agriculture departments, regional development agencies and state or provincial tourism offices in parallel. Disaster designations and supplemental funding move faster when evidence and institutional contacts already exist.

Gulf Coast, Florida

United States: Tourism and Destination Organizations Small Business Administration (SBA) disaster lending generally excludes agricultural production, but a qualifying tasting room, event venue, shop, lodging component or other nonfarm business activity may be eligible for an Economic Injury Disaster Loan or a Business Physical Disaster Loan after a federal declaration. Economic Injury Disaster Loans address working-capital needs rather than lost profit; physical disaster loans address damaged real estate, equipment and inventory and may include additional mitigation funding. A hybrid operator may therefore need to document crop and nonfarm business losses separately. The Economic Development Administration is the more relevant federal channel for state tourism offices and destination organizations, particularly through disaster supplemental and travel, tourism and outdoor- recreation funding. Prior federal tourism funding has flowed through state tourism offices to local destination organizations, making that relationship an important recovery channel. Gulf Coast organizations may also consider RESTORE Act programs for eligible ecosystem-restoration, resilience, economic-recovery and tourism projects; these are standing regional resources rather than El Niño-specific relief.

Ontario, Canada

Canada: Tourism and Destination Organizations

Canada’s regional development agencies— including ACOA, CED, FedDev Ontario, FedNor, PrairiesCan, PacifiCan and CanNor—are the closest analog to EDA and have administered tourism and disaster-recovery initiatives. Recent tourism programs have supported small and medium-sized businesses, not-for-profits and local product development. ACOA’s Hurricane Fiona Recovery Fund demonstrates that event- specific support can reach affected communities, businesses and tourism operators when impacts are regional in scale. Destination organizations should maintain relationships with both their regional development agency and provincial tourism office rather than wait for a special fund to be announced.

Dividing Responsibilities Producers should retain crop, insurance and physical-loss records; tourism businesses should maintain payroll, debt, booking and cancellation evidence; and destination organizations should aggregate regional indicators without substituting estimates for member documentation. The destination organization’s most useful role is to circulate eligibility guidance, identify the correct agency contact, support a designation request with regional evidence and coordinate with the state or provincial tourism office. It should not promise that a climate event or forecast automatically qualifies an applicant for assistance.

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